Category Archives: Match Analytics 2026 World Cup

Match preview: Switzerland vs Colombia

Switzerland and Colombia will meet in the last-16 stage of the FIFA World Cup with both nations hoping to reach the quarter-finals once again. Each country has previously reached the final eight at the tournament, and one of them will secure another appearance among the competition’s best eight teams at BC Place Vancouver.

The match will take place at a stadium that has already become familiar territory for Switzerland, as this will be their third consecutive game at the venue during the tournament. Murat Yakin’s team arrived at this stage after defeating Canada 2-1 in their Group B finale before overcoming Algeria 2-0 in the round of 32.

The Swiss victory over Algeria marked their first World Cup knockout success since 1938, with Breel Embolo and Dan Ndoye providing the goals that sent them through.

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Kick-off Time: 13:00 Vancouver local time (UTC-7)
Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, Canada
Venue Capacity: 54,500
Opponents: Switzerland vs. Colombia (Round of 16)
Despite having storied football histories, this Round of 16 tie is only the fifth-ever meeting between the two nations across all competitions. Their only previous competitive encounter was a group-stage match at the 1994 World Cup, which Colombia won 2-0

Switzerland continue impressive world cup run

Switzerland has enjoyed one of their strongest tournament campaigns, recording three victories at a single World Cup for the first time in their history. They have also achieved three consecutive wins at the finals for the first time ever.

Johan Manzambi has been one of the standout performers, producing a brilliant individual move and assist for Embolo against Algeria. His contribution was his fifth direct goal involvement at this World Cup, with three goals and two assists. At 20 years and 261 days old, he became the youngest player on record to reach that mark.

Only Thomas Müller of Germany in 2010 has recorded more goal contributions in a World Cup edition before turning 21 over the past 60 years, with five goals and three assists.

Embolo’s goal against Algeria was his fourth at the World Cup. Only Josef Hügi, with six, and Xherdan Shaqiri, with five, have scored more for Switzerland at the tournament. Yakin has also written his name into the national team’s history, collecting five wins from eight World Cup matches as coach and achieving the highest win percentage of any Switzerland manager at the finals.

Last 5 Switzerland matches stats

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International friendlies

Switzerland 2 – 0 Algeria

Switzerland 2 – 1 Canada

Switzerland 4 – 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina

Qatar 1 – 1 Switzerland

Australia 1 – 1 Switzerland

2026/07/03

2026/06/24

2026/06/18

2026/06/13

2026/06/06

Colombia look to repeat success from 2014

Colombia entered the match aiming to reach the same stage achieved by their 2014 team, when James Rodríguez became the leading figure of their World Cup campaign with six goals.

Twelve years later, Rodríguez has become Colombia’s record appearance holder at the tournament. However, he was replaced at half-time during the 1-0 round-of-16 victory over Ghana.

Jhon Arias gave Colombia an early advantage with a volley scored after 13 minutes and 49 seconds, becoming the second-fastest scorer in the nation’s World Cup history. Only Pablo Armero’s goal against Greece in 2014 arrived earlier.

The goal came after a superb delivery from Luis Suárez, who had entered the match in the sixth minute as a replacement for Jhon Córdoba. It was the earliest World Cup goal contribution ever recorded by a substitute.

Last 5 Colombia matches stats

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International friendlies

Colombia 1 – 0 Ghana

Colombia 0 – 0 Portugal

Colombia 1 – 0 DR Congo

Uzbekistan 1 – 3 Colombia

Colombia 2 – 0 Jordan

2026/07/04

2026/06/28

2026/06/24

2026/06/18

2026/06/08

Previous meetings and important numbers

Colombia has shown attacking ambition during the tournament, registering their highest expected goals total in a World Cup knockout match with 2.19 xG. They have also produced at least 20 shots in each of their last three games, a run matched by only a few teams in World Cup history.

Despite creating many chances, Colombia have scored only twice during that period, with their expected goals per shot figure of 0.08 being the lowest among the remaining teams in the competition.

Defensively, however, Néstor Lorenzo’s side have been difficult to break down. Colombia have kept three consecutive clean sheets at the World Cup for the first time, with only Spain and Mexico recording more during this tournament.

Switzerland and Colombia have faced each other four times in all competitions. Three of those meetings were friendlies, with the latest coming in March 2007, when Colombia won 3-1 through goals from Edixon Perea, Jhon Viafara, and Andres Chitiva.

Their only competitive meeting came during the 1994 World Cup group stage, when Colombia earned a 2-0 victory thanks to goals from Hermán Gaviria and Harold Lozano. However, that result did not stop Colombia from being eliminated from the tournament.

In 2026, Colombia have struggled against European opposition, failing to win any of their three matches against teams from the continent. They lost friendlies against Croatia and France before drawing 0-0 with Portugal in their final Group K match.

Past H2H Results

International friendlies

FIFA World Cup

Colombia 3 – 1 Switzerland

Switzerland 0 – 2 Colombia

2007/03/25

1994/06/26

Prediction and expected outcome

Switzerland and Colombia are expected to produce a closely contested last-16 battle between two teams with strong defensive records and ambitions of reaching the World Cup quarter-finals. Switzerland enter the match with confidence after three consecutive victories at the tournament and a growing attacking threat led by players such as Breel Embolo and Johan Manzambi. Colombia, however, will be difficult to break down after keeping three straight clean sheets and showing their ability to compete against strong opponents. The Swiss are likely to control more possession, while Colombia will look to use their creativity and attacking movement to create opportunities. With both teams showing defensive organisation, the match could remain tight for long periods before individual quality decides the outcome. Switzerland’s recent form and tournament experience give them a slight advantage, but Colombia’s resilience means an upset would not be surprising.

Prediction: Switzerland 1-0 Colombia

Expected outcome: A narrow Switzerland victory that sends them into the World Cup quarter-finals for the first time since 1954, while Colombia’s strong defensive performances continue to highlight their progress on the international stage. The match is expected to be decided by small moments, with Switzerland’s attacking efficiency and confidence giving them the edge in a balanced encounter.

Match preview: Argentina vs Egypt

Argentina will continue their FIFA World Cup campaign with a last-16 meeting against Egypt in Atlanta on Tuesday, with Lionel Messi once again chasing another place in tournament history. The reigning champions progressed after a dramatic 3-2 victory over Cape Verde, where they twice let their advantage disappear before Cristian Romero’s late header, helped by a deflection off Diney Borges, secured qualification.

Messi opened the scoring in that contest, taking his tally for the tournament to seven goals. He became the first footballer to score at least seven times in two separate World Cups, although Kylian Mbappé later matched that achievement by converting the decisive penalty in France’s victory over Paraguay. Erling Haaland has also reached seven goals in his debut World Cup after scoring twice against Brazil to send Norway into the quarter-finals against England.

Victory over Egypt would also keep alive Argentina’s pursuit of another landmark. Having scored at least twice in each of their previous 10 World Cup matches, they could equal Uruguay’s run from 1930 to 1954 by finding the net at least two times in 11 consecutive games.

Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Kick-off Time: 12:00 Atlanta local time (UTC-4)
Venue: Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Venue Capacity: 75,000
Opponents: Argentina vs. Egypt (Round of 16)
First-Ever World Cup Meeting: Despite being continental powerhouses (Argentina with 16 Copa America titles and Egypt with 7 AFCON trophies), the two nations had never faced each other at a World Cup. Their only previous senior meeting was a friendly in 2008, which Argentina won 2-0

Argentina chasing more records

Messi has another individual target within reach. A goal against Egypt would see him join Guillermo Stabile as the only Argentine player to score eight goals at a single World Cup. It would also make him just the sixth player to score in each of his country’s opening five matches at one edition of the tournament, alongside Just Fontaine, Jairzinho, Gerd Müller, Rivaldo, and James Rodríguez.

Argentina’s demanding schedule has created fitness concerns ahead of the knockout tie. The exhausting conditions in Miami, combined with the limited recovery time, have left Lionel Scaloni hoping his squad can regain full strength before Tuesday’s encounter.

Facundo Medina was forced off with a severe cramp against Cape Verde, while Enzo Fernández and Nicolás González both battled through the closing stages despite physical problems after Argentina had used all of their substitutions. Scaloni admitted his side had little choice but to defend deep during the closing minutes.

“We had no substitutions left near the end, several players suffered from cramps, and we simply had to defend with everything we had,” Scaloni said. “When you’re not at your best, you have to protect the result. Advancing was what mattered most, and now we’ll work on correcting our mistakes.”

Last 5 Argentina matches stats

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International friendlies

Argentina 3 – 2 Cabo Verde

Jordan 1 – 3 Argentina

Argentina 2 – 0 Austria

Argentina 3 – 0 Algeria

Argentina 3 – 0 Iceland

2026/07/04

2026/06/28

2026/06/22

2026/06/17

2026/06/10

Egypt looking to continue impressive run

Egypt secured their place in the last 16 after overcoming Australia on penalties following a 1-1 draw. Their success ensured they remained unbeaten in the competition and moved them one victory away from becoming only the fifth African nation to reach the World Cup quarter-finals after Cameroon, Senegal, Ghana, and Morocco.

Although Egypt have allowed nine goals across their previous six World Cup fixtures, they have also found the net eight times during that stretch. If they both score and concede again against Argentina, they will become only the second African side after Ghana to do so in seven consecutive World Cup matches.

Mohamed Salah entered the Australia game carrying a hamstring issue, creating uncertainty over his availability. Despite that concern, the forward completed all 120 minutes and confidently converted a chipped penalty during the shootout.

Salah has also been one of the tournament’s leading creators, producing 16 chances so far. Two more against Argentina would see him equal Kevin-Prince Boateng’s African World Cup record of 18, set with Ghana in 2010. Should Egypt eliminate Argentina, they will face either Colombia or Switzerland in the quarter-finals.

Last 5 Egypt matches stats

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International friendlies

Australia 1 – 1 Egypt

Egypt 1 – 1 IR Iran

New Zealand 1 – 3 Egypt

Belgium 1 – 1 Egypt

Brazil 2 – 1 Egypt

2026/07/03

2026/06/27

2026/06/22

2026/06/15

2026/06/07

Previous meetings and notable statistics

Argentina and Egypt have never previously met at a World Cup. Their most recent encounter came in a friendly in Cairo in 2008, when Argentina recorded a 2-0 victory through goals from Sergio Agüero and Nicolás Burdisso, while Messi was unavailable because of injury.

The South American side has also enjoyed an impressive run against African opposition at the World Cup, winning each of its last eight such matches. Two of those victories have already come during the current tournament against Algeria and Cape Verde.

No nation has ever defeated three African opponents during the same World Cup edition. Argentina has the opportunity to establish that record if they overcome Egypt and continue their march through the knockout rounds.

Past H2H Results

International friendlies

Egypt 0 – 2 Argentina

2008/03/26

Prediction and expected outcome

Argentina enter this match as clear favourites due to their recent World Cup success, attacking quality, and Lionel Messi’s outstanding form throughout the tournament. Lionel Scaloni’s side have shown strong goalscoring consistency, finding the net at least twice in their last 10 World Cup matches, while their experience in high-pressure knockout games gives them a significant advantage. Egypt, however, has already shown resilience by reaching the last 16 unbeaten and possesses enough attacking threat through Mohamed Salah to trouble Argentina’s defence. The Pharaohs are capable of making the match difficult with their organization, discipline, and ability to compete in tight encounters. The most likely scenario is Argentina controlling possession and creating more chances, while Egypt focuses on defensive structure and quick counter-attacks. Argentina’s individual quality and greater tournament experience should eventually prove decisive, but Egypt has the tools to make the contest competitive.

Prediction: Argentina 2-1 Egypt

Expected outcome: A narrow Argentina victory that sends them into the quarter-finals, with Messi continuing his impressive World Cup campaign. Egypt are likely to provide a strong challenge and could threaten on the break, but Argentina’s attacking depth and big-game experience should help them secure progression. While Argentina are the favourites, Egypt’s unbeaten run means a surprise result cannot be completely ruled out.

Spain’s defensive excellence fuels growing World Cup hopes

Spain’s triumph at the 2010 World Cup was remembered for its possession-based football, guided by the creativity of Xavi Hernandez and Andres Iniesta, the finishing of David Villa, and the influence of a strong Barcelona core under Vicente del Bosque. Their patient passing game ended with a 1-0 victory over the Netherlands in the final, securing the country’s first world title.

Sixteen years later, Spain has once again reached the latter stages of the competition after another 1-0 knockout victory over Portugal, matching the scoreline from their meeting in Cape Town. They are now only three victories away from lifting the trophy for a second time.

This campaign, however, has been shaped less by attacking flair than by remarkable defensive consistency. Spanish football expert Guillem Balague believes the team’s greatest strength is its collective mentality, describing a squad in which every player shares the same commitment and approach.

Collective commitment at the heart of Spain’s success

Although Spain possess an impressive group of attacking players, including Mikel Oyarzabal, the returning Lamine Yamal, and midfield orchestrator Pedri alongside Ballon d’Or winner Rodri, their progress has been built on resilience without the ball.

Luis de la Fuente’s side has advanced to the quarter-finals without conceding once and remains the only team at the tournament yet to allow a goal after Mexico’s defence was breached three times by England in the round of 16. Their achievement has also earned a place in World Cup history, as Spain became the first nation to register six consecutive clean sheets, surpassing the previous record shared by Italy and Switzerland.

Their defensive streak now stretches to 10 hours and nine minutes without conceding in the competition, dating back to the goalless last-16 match at the 2022 World Cup that Morocco eventually won on penalties. Following the victory over Portugal, De la Fuente credited the achievement to teamwork, highlighting solidarity, sacrifice, constant effort, and the willingness of every player to work for one another while remaining faithful to the team’s football philosophy.

Simon and the back line rewrite the record books

Goalkeeper Unai Simon has played a central role in Spain’s defensive record, extending his run without conceding at the World Cup to 609 minutes. His achievement surpassed the previous benchmarks established by Italy’s Walter Zenga and Spain legend Iker Casillas.

Balague noted that Portugal controlled long spells of the last-16 encounter but failed to produce the decisive attacking quality. He added that Spain’s defenders consistently solved problems together, tracked back effectively, and limited the need for spectacular saves from Simon.

In front of the goalkeeper, Aymeric Laporte and Pau Cubarsi have formed the central defensive partnership, while Pedro Porro and Marc Cucurella have occupied the full-back positions. That combination has started three of Spain’s five matches at the tournament, with Marcos Llorente replacing Porro in the remaining two fixtures.

Balague also praised Rodri’s recent performances, describing him as the team’s guiding presence. He added that Laporte and Cubarsi complement each other perfectly because they suit Spain’s style of building play from the back while remaining comfortable defending large spaces behind the defensive line.

Confidence grows before another major test

Spain’s years following their 2010 success have included mixed fortunes. They successfully defended their European Championship title in 2012, but later endured two World Cup group-stage eliminations before exiting in the first knockout round four years ago.

Now competing as reigning European champions, they appear to have assembled another squad capable of challenging for football’s biggest prize. Former England striker Chris Sutton believes Spain have additional levels to reach despite not producing their best display against Portugal.

Sutton said the team’s defensive reliability should concern every remaining opponent and suggested that a potential meeting with France would represent their greatest examination, provided both nations progress. He believes Spain has the quality to overcome France but would need to deliver an almost flawless performance.

Before any possible semi-final showdown, De la Fuente’s team will attempt to extend their outstanding defensive run when they face Belgium in Friday’s quarter-final.

Match preview: USA vs Belgium

The United States enter this last-16 clash in Seattle aiming to secure only their second appearance in a World Cup quarterfinal. The co-hosts advanced from the group stage after finishing top of Group D and continued their momentum with a 2–0 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina in the previous round.

Their progress has been slightly overshadowed by disciplinary drama involving Folarin Balogun, who was shown a controversial red card in the knockout stage while also scoring in the same match. FIFA later placed his one-match suspension on a one-year probation, meaning the forward remains eligible for selection.

The winner of this tie will move on to face either Portugal or Spain in the quarter-finals, adding extra significance to an already high-pressure encounter.

Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
Kick-off Time: 17:00 Seattle local time (UTC-7)
Venue: Seattle Stadium, Seattle, Washington
Venue Capacity: 69,000
Opponents: USA vs. Belgium (Round of 16)
Following the initial 1930 victory, the United States has lost six consecutive matches against Belgium across all official and friendly competitions. Over those six losses, the U.S. has been outscored by Belgium by an aggregate of 15 goals to 4

United States form and key contributors

Mauricio Pochettino’s side have been in strong attacking form throughout the tournament, scoring at least two goals in every match so far. They became the first team from outside Europe and South America to achieve that scoring consistency across four consecutive World Cup games.

Balogun has been central to their offensive output, scoring three times from 11 shots, giving him a 27.3% conversion rate. In comparison, the rest of the squad have produced five goals from 41 attempts combined, underlining his importance in the final third.

Set-piece situations have also played a notable role, with four goals coming from dead-ball scenarios. Malik Tillman’s free-kick against Bosnia-Herzegovina marked only the nation’s second-ever World Cup goal from a direct set piece.

Last 5 USA matches stats

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International friendlies

USA 2 – 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina

Turkiye 3 – 2 USA

USA 2 – 0 Australia

USA 4 – 1 Paraguay

USA 1 – 2 Germany

2026/07/02

2026/06/26

2026/06/19

2026/06/13

2026/06/06

Belgium squad dynamics and tournament path

Belgium arrives with questions surrounding their attacking balance, as Romelu Lukaku continues to build match sharpness while Kevin De Bruyne has not completed a full match in any of his four appearances at the tournament. His early substitutions have contrasted with his previously consistent tournament minutes.

In their knockout match against Senegal, coach Rudi Garcia made notable changes, including removing Jérémy Doku while the team was trailing. Despite this, Lukaku and Youri Tielemans turned the game around late on, with both scoring within a short 159-second window to force extra time.

Tielemans later secured victory with a dramatic stoppage-time penalty, which arrived deep into the match at 124:44 and set a new World Cup record for the latest goal scored.

Last 5 Belgium matches stats

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International friendlies

Belgium 3 – 2 Senegal

New Zealand 1 – 5 Belgium

Belgium 0 – 0 Iran

Belgium 1 – 1 Egypt

Belgium 5 – 0 Tunisia

2026/07/01

2026/06/27

2026/06/21

2026/06/15

2026/06/06

Historical context and key match facts

Belgium have shown resilience in knockout football, becoming the first side since their own comeback in 2018 to recover from a two-goal deficit and progress in a World Cup elimination match. Their creativity has also been highlighted by Leandro Trossard, who has created 16 chances from open play, the second-highest total at the last three editions of the tournament.

The United States, however, holds only one win in their last seven meetings with Belgium, dating back to a 3–0 victory in the 1930 World Cup. Since then, they have suffered six consecutive defeats, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match.

Their most recent encounter ended in a 5–2 defeat for the Americans in a friendly held in March, further underlining Belgium’s historical edge in this fixture.

Past H2H Results

International friendlies

FIFA World Cup

International friendlies

USA 2 – 5 Belgium

Belgium 2 – 1 USA

USA 2 – 4 Belgium

2026/03/28

2014/07/01

2013/05/30

Prediction and expected outcome

The USA enters this match with strong attacking momentum and a home advantage in Seattle, having scored at least twice in every game so far in the tournament. Mauricio Pochettino’s side have looked particularly dangerous in open play and from set-pieces, with Folarin Balogun providing a decisive cutting edge when available. Belgium, however, brings far greater knockout experience and has already shown resilience by coming from behind in dramatic fashion against Senegal. Their ability to respond under pressure, combined with late-match decisiveness from players like Romelu Lukaku and Youri Tielemans, makes them extremely dangerous in tight games. The most likely scenario is a closely contested match where the USA press aggressively and create chances, while Belgium remain more controlled and efficient in key moments. Ultimately, Belgium’s experience in managing high-stakes knockout situations may give them a slight edge over a US side still chasing only their second-ever quarter-final appearance.

Prediction: Belgium 2-1 USA

Expected outcome: A tight, emotionally charged contest where the USA threaten strongly at home but are edged out by Belgium’s superior tournament experience and late-game composure, sending the Red Devils into another World Cup quarter-final.

Match preview: Portugal vs Spain

Two pre-tournament favourites are set to meet in a major World Cup round-of-16 clash as the Portugal national football team takes on the Spain national football team in the Dallas heat on Monday. The encounter arrives after both sides navigated intense last-32 drama to reach this stage of the competition.

Portugal advanced in extraordinary circumstances, edging past Croatia thanks to a stoppage-time goal from Gonçalo Ramos and a contentious VAR decision that went their way after a dramatic contest. Croatia thought they had levelled through Joško Gvardiol in the closing moments, only for Ramos’ 94th-minute strike to ultimately decide the tie.

Spain, meanwhile, arrive in strong form and are widely seen as one of the most complete teams at the tournament, setting up a high-level tactical battle between two European heavyweights.

Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
Kick-off Time: 14:00 Dallas local time (UTC-5)
Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Venue Capacity: 94,000
Opponents: Portugal vs. Spain (Round of 16)
Portugal has not beaten Spain in any of their last six competitive or friendly meetings. Their last victory against their Iberian neighbors came all the way back at Euro 2004

Portugal’s route to the last sixteen

Portugal’s progress came with tension and late drama, but the result secured their place in the round of 16 and keeps their ambition of reaching another deep tournament run alive. They are now targeting a fourth appearance in the World Cup quarter-finals and are aiming to reach that stage in consecutive editions for the first time.

Historically, Portugal have not managed back-to-back knockout wins at a World Cup since 2006, when they defeated both the Netherlands and England before eventually being eliminated by France in the semi-finals. That past benchmark remains the last time they strung together sustained knockout success at this level.

Captain Cristiano Ronaldo also marked a personal milestone in the tournament by scoring his first-ever World Cup knockout stage goal, adding further significance to Portugal’s latest progression.

Last 5 Portugal matches stats

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International friendlies

Portugal 2 – 1 Croatia

Colombia 0 – 0 Portugal

Portugal 5 – 0 Uzbekistan

Portugal 1 – 1 DR Congo

Portugal 2 – 1 Nigeria

2026/07/03

2026/06/28

2026/06/23

2026/06/17

2026/06/10

Spain’s form and dominance

The Spain national football team has impressed with control and consistency, going through their opening four matches without conceding a goal for the first time in World Cup history. They are also only the second European team to record four consecutive clean sheets at the tournament, matching a feat previously achieved by Switzerland in 2006.

Their round-of-16 place was secured in style with a 3-0 win over Austria, featuring a brace from Mikel Oyarzabal and a goal from Pedro Porro. If they extend their defensive run by shutting out Portugal, Spain would become the first team in World Cup history to register six successive clean sheets.

Spain’s broader form under coach Luis de la Fuente has been exceptional, with the team unbeaten in 34 matches, just one short of their all-time record streak. De la Fuente himself has gone 11 matches unbeaten in major international tournaments, conceding only four goals in that span.

Last 5 Spain matches stats

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International friendlies

Spain 3 – 0 Austria

Uruguay 0 – 1 Spain

Spain 4 – 0 Saudi Arabia

Spain 0 – 0 Cabo Verde

Peru 1 – 3 Spain

2026/07/02

2026/06/27

2026/06/21

2026/06/15

2026/06/09

History and key meetings

Encounters between Portugal and Spain have been tightly contested across major tournaments, with five previous meetings producing one win each and three draws. Their most famous modern clash came at the 2018 World Cup, when they drew 3-3 in a thrilling group-stage match in which Ronaldo scored a hat-trick.

They also met in the semi-finals of Euro 2012, where neither side scored in normal or extra time before Spain progressed on penalties. Portugal’s only victory in this long stretch of competitive meetings came at Euro 2004, when Nuno Gomes scored the winner in a 1-0 group-stage triumph.

Overall, Portugal have won just one of their last 12 competitive games against Spain, though they did manage to win their most recent meeting in the Nations League final in June 2025 after a penalty shootout.

Past H2H Results

UEFA Nations League

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Portugal 2 – 2 Spain

Portugal 0 – 1 Spain

Spain 1 – 1 Portugal

2025/06/08

2022/09/27

2022/06/02

Prediction and expected outcome

Spain enter this match as slight favourites thanks to their exceptional unbeaten run, defensive solidity, and consistent control of games throughout the tournament. Luis de la Fuente’s side have not conceded in four World Cup matches and are on a long stretch of results that highlights their stability at the highest level. Portugal, however, arrive with proven knockout resilience after a dramatic late win over Croatia and will believe they can punish any lapse in concentration. The presence of Cristiano Ronaldo and the recent impact of Gonçalo Ramos give them a clear attacking threat in decisive moments. Spain’s edge in form and balance, driven by their structure and players like Mikel Oyarzabal, suggests they are more likely to control long periods of the match. The most likely scenario is a tight, tactical contest where Spain’s consistency eventually tells, but Portugal remains dangerous throughout.

Prediction: Spain 2-1 Portugal

Expected outcome: A narrow Spanish victory that extends their unbeaten run and defensive record, while Portugal exit with the sense that small margins and late moments decided a closely fought knockout tie.